![]() The pattern is cycling, and it oscillates a bit. The two big ones are expected around April 20 and May 8. There are around four parts of the pattern we now have high confidence that will be close to big severe weather outbreaks. This shows us that this year’s LRC is likely going to produce some big severe weather days, and they will be closer to Kansas City. Mayfield, Kentucky, had a deadly long-track tornado on Dec.10, 2021, that devastated the town, killing 56 people.įive days later, a record-shattering tornado day was recorded with tornadoes reported near the Iowa/Minnesota border where there had never been a December tornado reported ever before. Then, the pattern returned in December and produced two more big tornado days. Suddenly, there were three dozen tornadoes in Kansas after being quiet since that big Linwood tornado. When it set up this year, there were big severe weather risks between Oct. The cycling pattern sets up each fall around the beginning of October. These features are unique to the United States. The Gulf provides warm and moist air, fuel for the strongest thunderstorms on earth, and the Rocky Mountains provide the northern, southern mountain range. Why? Because of where we are east of the Rocky Mountains and north of the Gulf of Mexico. Oklahoma and Kansas have more tornadoes per square mile than anywhere else in the world. The LRC (Lezak’s Recurring Cycle, as named by bloggers 20 years ago) has set up in such a way that has kept big severe weather risks away from Oklahoma and Kansas for years. The way the weather pattern has set up each year has been protecting a large part of Tornado Alley. There has not been a tornado watch in parts of the KC metro area since that day, or almost three full years. This tornado was heading right toward Kansas City, but it weakened, lifted and spared the higher population center. On that late May day, we had an EF4 tornado (nearly 200 mph or stronger) destroy parts of Linwood, Kansas. Tornado Alley has been quiet since May 28, 2019. With the warmer days will come higher humidity, and with higher moisture levels, thunderstorms will be getting stronger. If we haven’t had our last snowflakes of the season, then that day is likely near. The days are getting longer, and the temperatures are gradually getting warmer. Please review our full terms contained on our Terms of Service page.KANSAS CITY, Mo. We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands. We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. See all nearby weather stations Disclaimer The details of the data sources used for this report can be found on the Kansas City International Airport page. Thunderstorm in the Vicinity, Thunderstorm with Rain, Light Rain, Mist Thunderstorm in the Vicinity, Thunderstorm with Light Rain, Thunderstorm with Rain, Heavy Rain, Light Rain, Mist Thunderstorm in the Vicinity, Thunderstorm with Heavy Rain, Thunderstorm with Light Rain, Thunderstorm with Rain, Rain, Light Rain, Mist Thunderstorm, Haze, Fog, Fog in the Vicinity, Mist, Patches of Fog Light Rain, Light Drizzle, Mist, Patches of Fog Light Rain, Light Drizzle, Mist, Unknown Precipitation Thunderstorm, Thunderstorm with Light Rain, Thunderstorm with Rain, Light Snow and Ice Pellets, Light Rain Light Snow, Light Snow and Ice Pellets, Light Ice Pellets, Light Rain and Snow, Light Rain, Light Drizzle, Mist
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